Selected Publications

Vachula, R. S., Balascio, N. L., A. V. Karmalkar, Stockton, J., Landolt, B. (2024). Central Appalachian paleofire reconstruction reveals fire-climate-vegetation dynamics across the last glacial-interglacial transition. Quaternary Science Reviews, 338, 108805. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108805

Lapointe, F., A. V. Karmalkar, Bradley, R. S., Retelle, M. J., Wang, F. (2024). Climate extremes in Svalbard over the last two millennia are linked to atmospheric blocking. Nature Communications, 15(1), 4432. doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48603-8

Rawlins, M. A. and A. V. Karmalkar (2024). Regime Shifts in Arctic Terrestrial Hydrology Manifested from Impacts of Climate Warming. The Cryosphere, 18, 1033–1052. doi:10.5194/tc-18-1033-2024

[Report] Karmalkar, A. V., S. Sadai, A. Chaughule, M. Staudinger (2024). Chapter 1: Climate Change in the Northeast United States. In: A regional synthesis of climate data to inform the 2025 State Wildlife Action Plans in the Northeast United States. [Staudinger, M., A. Karmalkar, K. Terwilliger, K. Burgio, A. Lubeck, H. Higgins, T. Rice, T. Morelli, A. D’Amato (eds.)]. DOI Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Center Cooperator Report, 2024.

[Report] Karmalkar, A. V., C. Egan, D. Beyerle, L. Holloway, and A. Patrick (2024). Spatio-temporal Analysis of Observed Changes in Seasonal Temperatures in Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island. A Joint Research Project Between the Univ. of Rhode Island, Univ. of Kentucky, and the PPL Corporation.

Travis-Taylor, L., M. Medina-Elizalde, A. V. Karmalkar, J. Polanco-Martinez et al (2023). Last glacial hydroclimate variability in the Yucatan Peninsula not just driven by ITCZ shifts. Sci Rep 13, 14356. DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-40108-6.

Siren, A. P. K., C. S. Sutherland, A. V. Karmalkar, M. J. Duveneck, T. L. Morelli (2022). Forecasting species distributions: correlation does not equal causation. Diver- sity & Distributions. doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13480 

Karmalkar A. V. and Radley M. Horton (2021). Drivers of exceptional coastal warming in the northeastern United States. Nature Climatic Change, 11, 854-860. doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01159-7.

Sexton, D. M., C. F. McSweeney, J. W. Rostron, K. Yamazaki, B. B. Booth, J. M. Mur- phy, L. Regayre, J. S. Johnson, & A. V. Karmalkar (2021). A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3. 05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the param- eter combinations. Clim. Dyn., 56(11), 3395-3436. doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05709-9

Siddique, R., A. V. Karmalkar, F. Sun, R. Palmer (2020). Hydrological extremes across the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in a changing climate. Journal of Hydrol- ogy: Regional Studies, 32, 100733.

Karmalkar A. V., J. M. Thibeault, A. M. Bryan, A. Seth (2019b). Identifying credible and diverse GCMs for regional climate change studies. Case study: Northeastern United States. Climatic Change. doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02411-y.

Karmalkar A. V., D. M. H. Sexton, J. Murphy, B. B. B. Booth, J. Rostron, and D. Mc- Neall (2019a). Finding plausible and diverse model variants of a climate model. Part II: Development and Validation of Methodology. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04617-3.

Sexton, D. M. H., A. V. Karmalkar, J. Murphy et al (2019). Finding plausible and di- verse model variants of a climate model. Part I: Cheap experiments to assess model per- formance at weather and climate timescales. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04625-3.

Kirchhoff, C. J., J. J. Barsugli, G. L. Galford, A. V. Karmalkar, K. Lombardo, S. Stephenson, M. Barlow, A. Seth, G. Wang (2019). Climate assessments for local action. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0138.1.

Karmalkar A. V. (2018). Interpreting results from the NARCCAP and NA-CORDEX ensembles in the context of uncertainty in regional climate change projections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0127.1.

Karmalkar, A. V. and R. S. Bradley (2017). Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 oC and 2 oC for Regional Temperature and Precipitation Changes in the Contiguous United States, PLoS ONE 12(1): e0168697. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0168697.